troisi\u00e8me boisson la plus consomm\u00e9e au monde<\/a>, apr\u00e8s l\u2019eau et le th\u00e9. La nouvelle campagne de production, qui s\u2019annonce en octobre, sera plac\u00e9e sous le signe de nouveaux records.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\nLe monde continuera \u00e0 crouler sous le caf\u00e9 en 2026\/2027. Selon le dernier rapport du D\u00e9partement am\u00e9ricain de l\u2019agriculture (USDA), publi\u00e9 le 21 juillet, la production de f\u00e8ves est attendue \u00e0 189,6 millions de sacs (1 sac = 60 kg) sur ladite campagne, qui d\u00e9butera en octobre prochain, contre 178,8 millions de sacs un an plus t\u00f4t.<\/p>\n
Il s\u2019agit d\u2019un nouveau record pour l\u2019offre mondiale, qui marquerait une quatri\u00e8me ann\u00e9e cons\u00e9cutive de croissance, fermant ainsi un cycle de cinq ans ayant vu l\u2019ajout de pr\u00e8s de 25 millions de sacs suppl\u00e9mentaires depuis 2021.<\/p>\n
D\u2019apr\u00e8s l\u2019organisme am\u00e9ricain, c\u2019est l\u2019arabica qui portera encore la dynamique sur l\u2019ann\u00e9e caf\u00e9i\u00e8re sous revue, avec 105,86 millions de sacs, soit plus de 10 millions de plus qu\u2019un an plus t\u00f4t, gr\u00e2ce principalement au Br\u00e9sil (45\u00a0% de la production mondiale), et dans une moindre mesure aux am\u00e9liorations attendues en Colombie, en \u00c9thiopie et au Honduras.<\/p>\n
Pendant ce temps, la vari\u00e9t\u00e9 robusta, dont les grains pr\u00e9sentent une teneur en caf\u00e9ine plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e, devrait reculer l\u00e9g\u00e8rement \u00e0 83,8 millions de sacs, malgr\u00e9 une progression attendue au Vietnam, qui ne sera pas suffisante pour compenser les contreperformances anticip\u00e9es au Br\u00e9sil et en Indon\u00e9sie.<\/p>\n
Une consommation qui restera aussi au beau fixe<\/h2>\n
Si l\u2019offre sera abondante, l\u2019USDA estime que la consommation ne sera pas en reste, avec un niveau historique attendu \u00e0 179,7 millions de sacs, port\u00e9 par la reprise du march\u00e9 dans l\u2019UE et aux \u00c9tats-Unis.<\/p>\n
Sur ces march\u00e9s, qui repr\u00e9sentent 40\u00a0% de l\u2019utilisation mondiale des grains, les torr\u00e9facteurs cherchent \u00e0 reconstituer leurs stocks gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 la baisse des prix internationaux du caf\u00e9 depuis 2025. \u00c0 c\u00f4t\u00e9 de ces deux march\u00e9s matures, d\u2019autres pays comme la Chine continueront de tirer la consommation.<\/p>\n
L\u2019Empire du Milieu devrait ainsi consommer 6,9 millions de sacs de caf\u00e9 en 2026\/2027, soit 37\u00a0% de plus qu\u2019il y a cinq ans, sous l\u2019effet de l\u2019occidentalisation des modes de vie, en particulier chez les jeunes, qui se tournent de plus en plus vers le caf\u00e9 au d\u00e9triment du th\u00e9. Ce niveau devrait en faire le cinqui\u00e8me consommateur mondial, derri\u00e8re l\u2019UE, les \u00c9tats-Unis, le Br\u00e9sil et le Japon.<\/p>\n
D\u2019apr\u00e8s l\u2019USDA, les stocks mondiaux de caf\u00e9 devraient remonter l\u00e9g\u00e8rement durant la nouvelle saison, atteignant 26,3 millions de sacs, alors que l\u2019\u00e9quilibre du march\u00e9 restera largement d\u00e9pendant du cycle de production du Br\u00e9sil. Dans la premi\u00e8re \u00e9conomie d\u2019Am\u00e9rique du Sud, les effets du ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne El Ni\u00f1o sur les phases de floraison et de formation des cerises seront ainsi \u00e9troitement surveill\u00e9s par le march\u00e9 au cours des prochains mois.<\/p>\n
Pour rappel, le caf\u00e9 repr\u00e9sente chaque ann\u00e9e un march\u00e9 mondial de plus de 200 milliards de dollars, port\u00e9 par une demande en croissance continue, selon la FAO. Le secteur fait vivre environ 25 millions d\u2019agriculteurs \u00e0 travers le monde.<\/p>\n
Source\u00a0: AgenceEcofin<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Le caf\u00e9 est la troisi\u00e8me boisson la plus consomm\u00e9e au monde, apr\u00e8s l\u2019eau et le th\u00e9. La nouvelle campagne de production, qui s\u2019annonce en octobre, sera plac\u00e9e sous le signe de nouveaux records. Le monde continuera \u00e0 crouler sous le caf\u00e9 en 2026\/2027. Selon le dernier rapport du D\u00e9partement am\u00e9ricain de l\u2019agriculture (USDA), publi\u00e9 le […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4324,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[70,73],"tags":[230],"class_list":["post-4323","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-actualites","category-international","tag-cafe"],"yoast_head":"\n
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