agricoles<\/a> \u00e9chang\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale, le caf\u00e9 conna\u00eet un repli de ses cours au premier semestre 2026, sur fond de perspectives de r\u00e9colte favorables pour la campagne 2026\/2027 dans les grands pays producteurs.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\nLes prix du caf\u00e9 affichent une baisse g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e sur les principales places boursi\u00e8res depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2026. Selon les donn\u00e9es compil\u00e9es par l\u2019Intercontinental Exchange, les cours de l\u2019Arabica ont cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 \u00e0 6\u00a0110 dollars la tonne le 16 juin \u00e0 New York, contre 7\u00a0300 dollars le 16 janvier, soit un recul de 16\u00a0%.<\/p>\n
Parall\u00e8lement, les prix du Robusta ont \u00e9galement diminu\u00e9 sur la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode. Sur la Bourse de Londres, les cours de cette vari\u00e9t\u00e9 ont cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 \u00e0 3\u00a0545 dollars la tonne le 16 juin, contre 3\u00a0925 dollars le 16 janvier, ce qui repr\u00e9sente une baisse de 9,7\u00a0%.<\/p>\n
Selon les analystes de la banque coop\u00e9rative n\u00e9erlandaise Rabobank, cette tendance baissi\u00e8re refl\u00e8te principalement l’am\u00e9lioration des perspectives d’approvisionnement sur le march\u00e9 mondial, \u00e0 mesure que les disponibilit\u00e9s augmentent dans les principaux pays producteurs.<\/p>\n
Cette lecture du march\u00e9 est confort\u00e9e par les derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions publi\u00e9es par le d\u00e9partement am\u00e9ricain de l\u2019Agriculture (USDA). Bien que l’institution n’ait pas encore d\u00e9voil\u00e9 ses projections mondiales pour la campagne 2026\/2027, les estimations disponibles pointent vers une am\u00e9lioration sensible de l’offre.<\/p>\n
En effet, quatre des cinq principaux exportateurs mondiaux de caf\u00e9 devraient enregistrer une hausse de leur r\u00e9colte en 2026\/2027. Il s\u2019agit notamment du Br\u00e9sil, du Vietnam, de la Colombie et de l\u2019\u00c9thiopie. L\u2019Indon\u00e9sie est la seule exception. Rappelons que ces cinq pays r\u00e9unis fournissent environ 70\u00a0% des exportations mondiales chaque ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n
La plus forte croissance dans le top 5 est attendue au Br\u00e9sil<\/h2>\n
Principal producteur mondial de la f\u00e8ve, le Br\u00e9sil s\u2019attend \u00e0 r\u00e9colter 71,9\u202fmillions de sacs, soit 4,31\u202fmillions de tonnes (1 sac = 60\u202fkg), au cours de la campagne de commercialisation de 2026\/2027. Cette pr\u00e9vision, si elle se r\u00e9alise, signerait une augmentation de 14\u00a0% par rapport \u00e0 la campagne pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente. Pour expliquer cette perspective optimiste, l\u2019USDA met en avant les effets positifs du cycle biennal sur les caf\u00e9iers dans les principales r\u00e9gions productrices du pays, les conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques favorables ainsi que la hausse des prix sur le march\u00e9 international ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. Autant de facteurs qui ont encourag\u00e9 l\u2019expansion des superficies consacr\u00e9es \u00e0 la production de caf\u00e9.<\/p>\n
Au Vietnam, qui s\u2019impose comme le deuxi\u00e8me producteur mondial de caf\u00e9, les projections tablent sur une croissance de 2,5\u00a0% d\u2019une ann\u00e9e sur l\u2019autre, pour porter les r\u00e9coltes \u00e0 32,5\u202fmillions de sacs, soit 1,95\u202fmillion de tonnes. \u00ab\u00a0L\u2019am\u00e9lioration de la productivit\u00e9 et le d\u00e9veloppement de vari\u00e9t\u00e9s r\u00e9silientes au climat soutiennent la croissance r\u00e9guli\u00e8re du caf\u00e9 Robusta, tandis que les superficies consacr\u00e9es au caf\u00e9 Arabica demeurent stables<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb, pr\u00e9cise l\u2019USDA en ce qui concerne le pays asiatique.<\/p>\nLe prix du caf\u00e9 reflue sur les march\u00e9s mondiaux au premier semestre 2026<\/h3>\n
La Colombie, qui se positionne sur la troisi\u00e8me marche du podium, devrait afficher la deuxi\u00e8me meilleure croissance apr\u00e8s le Br\u00e9sil. Dans ce pays d\u2019Am\u00e9rique du Sud, il est pr\u00e9vu que la r\u00e9colte de caf\u00e9 atteigne 13,4\u202fmillions de sacs, soit 804\u00a0000\u202ftonnes en 2026\/2027, ce qui traduirait une progression de 7,2\u00a0% par rapport \u00e0 la campagne pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.<\/p>\n
En ce qui concerne l\u2019\u00c9thiopie, les pr\u00e9visions annonc\u00e9es par l\u2019USDA pour la m\u00eame campagne font \u00e9tat d\u2019une progression de 4,73\u00a0% de la r\u00e9colte d\u2019une ann\u00e9e sur l\u2019autre, pr\u00e9vue pour atteindre 12,1\u202fmillions de sacs, soit 726\u00a0000\u202ftonnes.<\/p>\n
Si elles se concr\u00e9tisent, ces perspectives de r\u00e9coltes abondantes pourraient contribuer \u00e0 r\u00e9\u00e9quilibrer un march\u00e9 mondial marqu\u00e9 ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es par les al\u00e9as climatiques et les tensions sur l’offre. Dans ce contexte, les cours du caf\u00e9 pourraient poursuivre leur correction au cours des prochains mois.<\/p>\n
Source\u00a0: Agence Ecofin<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Une des principales mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res agricoles \u00e9chang\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale, le caf\u00e9 conna\u00eet un repli de ses cours au premier semestre 2026, sur fond de perspectives de r\u00e9colte favorables pour la campagne 2026\/2027 dans les grands pays producteurs. Les prix du caf\u00e9 affichent une baisse g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e sur les principales places boursi\u00e8res depuis le d\u00e9but de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4126,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[152],"class_list":["post-4125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-focus","tag-prix-du-cafe"],"yoast_head":"\n
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